In May, most asset classes recovered after April’s declines.
US stocks led the way, with the S&P 500 up 5.06% on a recovery in corporate earnings. Real estate also recovered, with the IYR index up 4.93% as lower mortgage rates helped revive demand. International stocks Larry rose +3.95%.
Bonds steadied, with yields retreating from recent highs, sending the Barclays Aggregate Index up +1.68%. Hedge funds captured the rally with more directional positions, sending the QAI Index up +1.35%.
Meanwhile, commodities were hit by weak manufacturing data, with the GSG index down -1.44%. Managed Futures strategies gave back some of their gains, with trend reversals in interest rates and commodities acting as headwinds, causing the index to fall -1.99%.
Since the beginning of the year, most asset classes have been in positive territory, with US stocks leading the way at +11.30%. Commodities have also recorded a large increase of +9.42%. The overall stock market rose +6.10%, with international stocks up +6.10%.
Real estate and fixed income remain in negative territory YTD at -4.83% and -1.45%, respectively, as rising interest rates have put pressure on valuations. Managed futures have weathered the volatility well, gaining +5.33% by strategically switching between long and short exposures.
As we head into June, it is important to note the mixed backdrop. On the one hand, the strong recovery in stocks and real estate in May could signal that the worst of the interest rate adjustment is over. However, uncertainty remains high and bond markets are pricing in further interest rate hikes in the coming months. This could put pressure on valuations of interest rate sensitive assets and cause hedge funds to shift to more defensive positions after a strong month.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Source: Managed Futures = SocGen CTA Index;
Cash = US Treasury Bill 13-week coupon equivalent annual interest rate/12, YTD is the sum of each month’s value,
Bonds = Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF (BND),
Hedge fund = IQ Hedge Multi-Strategy Tracker ETF (QAI),
Commodities = iShares S&P GSCI Commodity Index Trust ETF (G.S.G.S.G.),
Real Estate = iShares US Real Estate ETF (Year),
Global Equities = iShares MSCI ACWI ex US ETF (Australia),
US stocks = SPDR S&P 500 ETF (spy).
All ETF performance data from YCharts
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