by Calculated Risk June 27, 2024 3:47 PM
What this means: Realtor.com reports the year-over-year change in available inventory and new listings weekly. Monthly, it reports total inventory. For April, Realtor.com reported: report Inventory increased 35.2% year-over-year but is still down about 34% compared to April 2017 to April 2019 levels.
Real Estate Agent.com There are monthly and weekly data on the existing housing market. Below is the weekly report. Weekly Housing Trends View – Data for the week ending June 22, 2024
• Available inventory increased, with the number of homes for sale up 36.1% from the previous year.
For the 33rd consecutive week, the number of homes for sale has increased compared to a year ago. Last week, inventory of homes for sale increased 36.1% compared to last year, which is essentially the same margin as in recent weeks. While the recent inventory gains are significantly larger than a year ago, they also highlight how much inventory has declined. Even after the recent increases, active inventory in May was still down more than 30% from typical pre-pandemic levels.
• New listings — a measure of whether sellers are putting their homes on the market — rose 7.4% this week from a year ago.
Seller activity is up compared to a year ago, but momentum has slowed in recent weeks and since the beginning of the year. According to a Realtor.com analysis, 87% of outstanding mortgages have interest rates below 6%. If these homeowners were to sell, they would be giving up relatively inexpensive debt due to current mortgage rates of around 7%, but it’s a costly proposition. Lower interest rates will likely increase seller interest by reducing the strain on the “move or stay” calculation.
Below is a graph of year-over-year inventory changes. Real Estate Agent.com.
Inventory has increased year-over-year for 32 consecutive weeks.
However, inventories remain at historically low levels.
While new listings are up year-over-year, they remain below typical pre-pandemic levels.