Prime Minister Netanyahu seems determined to lash out at any adversary, as if Ehaweh or the United States will save him from whatever chaos results. We look first at Prime Minister Netanyahu’s public announcement of a new genocidal campaign against Lebanon, and then at the expected open defiance of the United States against Israel’s counterattack against Iran.
The fact that Prime Minister Netanyahu is trying to flatten Lebanon is not surprising. United Nations officials warned weeks ago that Gaza was becoming the next Gaza. There are some unfortunate details though. Let’s start with Al Jazeera:
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has warned that Lebanon could face a “Gaza-like” destruction after Israel killed the “successor and successor” of slain Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah. he claimed.
“We have an opportunity to save Lebanon before it falls into the abyss of a long war that will bring the kind of destruction and suffering we see in Gaza,” Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a speech, adding that the besieged enclave is under relentless attack. I mentioned being exposed. A year-long bloody bombing campaign by Israel.
and confirmed by the State Department The Biden administration is said to be fully committed to further war crimes, including collective punishment, and to extending the Gaza genocide program.
So the answer to your question is yes. We support Israel launching these invasions to destroy Hezbollah’s infrastructure. That way, we can finally get a diplomatic resolution that allows full implementation of Section 1701.
Needless to say, the claim that Israel is attacking “Hezbollah infrastructure” by destroying hospitals and apartment buildings is an insult to the intelligence community.
Although the United States and Israel agree on the destruction of Lebanon, they appear to be at odds over what exactly Israel plans to do in its counterattack against Iran. I don’t think this is some clever spin doctoring to make it look like the US isn’t involved. First, Israel has a form. Biden and other officials have repeatedly said they will support Israel no matter what, and have failed to take meaningful deterrent measures such as arms withholdings (a one-week denial of certain heavy bombs was a petty showpiece). ), this means that the government is responsible for itself. against Israel’s actions. That’s clear to Muslim voters and most anyone outside of the mainstream media bubble. So when the regime and 12 other countries made front-page headlines about their plans for a 21-day ceasefire, which resulted in Israel assassinating Hassan Nasrallah, it made all of these leaders look foolish. If that was the intention, there must have been a reputedly cheaper way to keep the United States away from assassinations.
Second, too much has been made public about the details of the US-Israel arm wrestling. The highlight was the sudden cancellation of defecation.Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant’s visit to the Pentagon. The Financial Times had an early report:
Israel has told the United States that Defense Minister Yoav Galant will no longer visit Washington this week, raising concerns that the cancellation could jeopardize cooperation with Israel over the response to Iranian missile attacks. are.
“We have just been informed that Minister Gallant is postponing his visit to Washington, D.C.,” Pentagon Deputy Spokesperson Sabrina Singh said on Tuesday, hours before she left for the United States.
The trip, scheduled at Gallant’s request, was seen as an important opportunity for the United States and Israel to discuss Israel’s retaliatory plans for last week’s Iranian ballistic missile attack and the escalation of the conflict in Lebanon.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Gallant to postpone his trip to Washington, according to sources.
The prime minister did not want Gallant to resign until the cabinet had voted on the country’s response to Iran’s ballistic missile attack and Netanyahu had spoken by phone with US President Joe Biden, the person said.
A phone call between Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Biden had been in the works for “days,” but it has not yet materialized, he said.
Hours later, Axios and the Wall Street Journal, both citing sources, announced that the conference call would take place on Wednesday.
Mr. Gallant meets regularly with U.S. Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin and is reportedly seen as the Israeli official most sensitive to the Pentagon’s concerns. My impression is that, like the IDF in general, he has at least tried to restrain the war effort because he understands Israel’s limitations.
Reading between the lines of the Financial Times article, it appears as if Netanyahu was indeed trying to postpone a phone call with Biden that Biden had been trying to postpone. It could have been a noodle-level whiplash attempt to tell Netanyahu he was in the doghouse. I do not agree for one second with the excuse for voting in Parliament. That would have little dangerous impact on the details of the strike package Gallant was supposed to discuss with the Pentagon. And this bloodthirsty Congress will approve any self-destructive plan that is put before it.
Apart from reaffirming his superiority over Biden, the second reason Netanyahu insisted on meeting with Biden before Gallant’s visit to the United States would be to curb Gallant’s freedom of action. If Mr. Gallant is concerned that political leaders are being unrealistic about Iran’s defense (particularly its nuclear program) and Iran’s ability to retaliate, it makes sense for him to do this. scheme Work with the Pentagon to revise the plan he agreed to (or at least was supposed to agree to) to something less dangerous.
The Wall Street Journal had more information US dissatisfied with Israel’s reluctance to share Iranian retaliatory plans:
U.S. officials say Israel has so far failed to attack Iran’s oil and nuclear facilities despite the White House urging its closest allies in the Middle East not to attack Iran’s oil and nuclear facilities due to concerns about the spread of the virus. , has refused to give the Biden administration details of its plans to retaliate against Iran. Regional war.
We would like to remind our readers that Iran’s nuclear facilities associated with its enrichment program are buried very deep underground. Experts of all stripes agree that in the event of a nuclear attack, the most Israel and the United States could do against them would be “cosmetic” damage. It is doubtful that even a nuclear explosion would cause much damage. But as far as I know, Iran has one nuclear reactor for power generation. We don’t know how far into Iran it is or whether it is as heavily maintained as other sites.
The Financial Times confirmed this theory in its article “Can Israel destroy Iran’s nuclear facilities on its own?” The first part of the article explains the main points:
But without U.S. support, analysts say, a solo Israeli airstrike on Iran’s nuclear facilities would be extremely risky and, at best, likely delay rather than destroy Iran’s plans.
Why is Israel’s operation so difficult?
The first reason is distance. Iran’s main nuclear base is more than 1,000 miles from Israel, and to get there Israeli planes must cross the sovereign airspace of Saudi Arabia, Jordan, Iraq, Syria, and in some cases Turkey.
Next is fuel. Flying to the target and back would take away all of Israel’s aerial refueling capabilities and leave little or no margin for error, according to a report by the U.S. Congressional Research Service.
The third is Iran’s air defense. The country’s main nuclear facilities are heavily guarded, and Israeli bombers must be protected by fighter jets.
According to the CRS report, this would require a total of about 100 attack packages, or almost a third of the Israeli Air Force’s 340 combat-capable aircraft.
Return to journal.
U.S. officials, frustrated at being repeatedly caught by surprise by Israeli military actions in Gaza and Lebanon, are trying to prevent further escalation…
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu blocked Mr. Gallant’s departure for the United States on Tuesday night as Israel continued planning for the Iran operation, Israeli officials said. U.S. officials said they did not yet know the timing of the attack or what Israel would target.
Army Gen. Eric Kurilla, who heads U.S. Central Command, which is responsible for U.S. military operations in the Middle East, visited Israel on Sunday and met with Gallant and top Israeli military officials as part of a warning against attacks on Iranian nuclear facilities. Oil facilities…
But U.S. officials have not said whether they have received a commitment from Israel to notify Washington in advance of an expected attack on Iran. will provide some details of the attack plan, including potential targets that were expected, U.S. officials said.
The fact that Mr. Kurilla met with Mr. Galan and other Israeli Defense Force officials on Sunday indicates that the Pentagon and the IDF are negotiating over a strike package and that Prime Minister Netanyahu has decided to kick the table. There is a possibility. Prime Minister Netanyahu seems to be making it clear that Poland, which is not an expert and has insane destructive power, is leading the charge.
So why is Prime Minister Netanyahu so insistent on dialogue with Mr. Biden? Is he going to make a unilateral communication like, “Gallant will brief the Pentagon, but only at a high level, and we may still revise the plan,” or “The next It can be assumed that the government intends to extract content such as “In such cases, there will be no damage to energy assets.” Join us to attack other targets in XYZ. ”
The bottom line is that if Prime Minister Netanyahu had been trying to find a way out, he would have given the media less coverage of the idea of attacking Iran. So I give a huge discount to the hilarious opinion Like MK Bhadrakumar.
Given Israel’s penchant for targeting and humiliating civilians, Israel will avoid Iranian military facilities altogether (which Iran is trying to protect with Russian aid) and protect critical public infrastructure such as water purification, power generation, and dams. There is a possibility of attack.
As many have pointed out, Iran’s repeated success in penetrating Israel’s air defenses, as well as its vast missile arsenal, means that Iran could choose to bring Israel to its knees with a counterattack. It means that you can. Iran has threatened to attack civilian infrastructure, but personally I like the idea of completely destroying all military air bases (Ben-Gurion is also used for some military flights, so it would be pretty rough) may be necessary). This would also have the advantage of deterring attacks on Lebanon.
But if Israel really understood that (rather than continuing to live in the illusion of Israeli and US superiority), it would very likely launch a nuclear attack, and would be well-refueled. This means that there is a very high chance of attacking a nuclear facility that has been destroyed rather than wasting a nuclear attack. “Decision Center”. That kind of disproportionate reaction is completely within their personality. This best explains Netanyahu’s determination given the weakness of his conventional forces against Iran, as well as his much-vaunted air force. I have the impression that Iran also has a very secure bunker for its leaders, but will all the key figures actually go there? And how many very important people (think equivalent to senior and next level line managers) will die?
One can only hope that Israel is grossly overestimating the effectiveness of conventional weapons. You’ll find out soon.
update:I’m really stupid. I even discussed this idea yesterday in a comment about Iran’s possible use of weapons-grade nuclear material.
For both Iran and Israel, the highest and best use of nuclear weapons capabilities is an EMP, not a ground attack. And if Israel were to destroy Iran’s electronic equipment, it would destroy not just its air defenses, but almost all of its capabilities (except perhaps its underground facilities). Therefore, if we go down the nuclear path, this seems to have the highest payoff.
